Sam F Davis Stakes horse racing odds line recommendation
The Sam F. Davis Stakes, the native prep for March’s Tampa Bay Derby, takes place this Saturday. It’s value 10 Kentucky Derby factors to the winner.
Tampa Bay Downs Race 11 (Publish time: 5:25 p.m. Jap)
The Grade III, $250,000 Sam F. Davis Stakes
1 1/16th-miles on grime
The Sam F. Davis Stakes drew an intriguing discipline of 10, led by final yr’s runner-up within the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, KNICKS GO. An upset is a powerful risk, as KNICKS GO has probably leveled off whereas his competitors is poised to enhance. Let’s dig into the résumés of the reside longshots.
#10 STILL DREAMING (15-1) is a half-brother to 2016 Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist who seemingly has boundless potential based mostly on his romping maiden win going one mile at Laurel Park. The $460ok buy improved dramatically in his first route race, which was simply his second begin to date. STILL DREAMING ought to get an excellent stalking setup from this put up beneath Jorge Vargas Jr., who will get a leg up from coach Graham Movement. He’s been getting over the Tampa observe nicely sufficient within the mornings, although he’s by no means recorded blazing-fast AM works.
#Eight SO ALIVE (5-1) lately beat #1 COUNTER OFFER over this course final month in preparation for the Sam F. Davis. The allowance win, which boosted his profession file to 3-2-0-0, was his first begin over a dry observe, and he overcame a gradual begin and a three-wide journey. The Todd Pletcher trainee will get a key rider improve to Javier Castellano and simply turned in a bullet exercise to arrange for this begin. SO ALIVE might win from nearly anyplace based mostly on his temporary profession operating traces.
#6 KENTUCKY WILDCAT (9-2) has turned in among the higher velocity figures within the discipline thus far, although it took him three begins to interrupt his maiden. He didn’t have the hardest journey in his first profession victory, as he stalked a reasonably gradual tempo. However Joe Bravo sees match to ship in for the decision.
#Three KNICKS GO (5-2, morning-line favourite) was final seen ending up the observe in a sloppy renewal of the Kentucky Jockey Membership Stakes at Churchill Downs. Previous to that debacle, KNICKS GO was making waves within the two-year-old division as he upset Keeneland’s Breeders’ Futurity at 70-1 earlier than putting second behind Sport Winner within the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. Nevertheless, along with his frontrunning model and the truth that he could have peaked as a two-year-old, KNICKS GO might be a foul wager in a race loaded with velocity and potential breakout performers.
The play: $2 exacta field 6/8/10, $Three win 10 ($15)