Glen Macnow: Guess on Phillies to go over 84.5 wins this season
I’ve been strolling round since November with $100 in my again pocket. I host my radio present at a Delaware on line casino each Saturday, and I’ve earmarked that C-note to slap down on the betting window as soon as I determine which strategy to wager on the Phillies in 2019.
The invoice is frayed in spite of everything these months. So are my nerves. As a result of all this time I’ve been ready to see whether or not the Phils signal Manny Machado or Bryce Harper or – be nonetheless my coronary heart – each, earlier than investing on both facet of the Vegas over-under of 84.5 wins.
After which, final Thursday, the skies opened up and there was an indication from God – or, on this case, GM Matt Klentak. The Phils swapped a prime pitching prospect, a suspect catcher and a bag of beans to Miami for J.T. Realmuto, one of the best all-around catcher in baseball.
It’s laborious for many followers to evaluate the worth of Realmuto as a result of, let’s face it, whoever watches the Marlins? However he’s a former shortstop who can run, block pitches and has the game’s quickest launch time throwing to second.
Offensively, Realmuto led all MLB catchers final season in slugging proportion, doubles and WAR. He popped 21 residence runs taking part in half the time at Miami’s cavernous stadium; he’ll add a half dozen at cozy Residents Financial institution Park.
I additionally suppose he’ll add 4 or 5 wins to the Phils’ backside line. Nice catchers can do this.
The Phils collapsed down the stretch to complete 80-82 final season. Since then, they added a nifty shortstop in Jean Segura, a veteran chief in Andrew McCutcheon and a dependable setup man/nearer in David Robertson. They pushed out Carlos Santana, which advantages the membership by placing Rhys Hoskins on first.
On the down facet, the beginning rotation – after Aaron Nola – appears to be like as skinny and frail as papyrus. Even with all of the strikes, they’ll nonetheless trot out a lineup of men who whiff far too typically. And supervisor Gabe Kapler raised critical questions final season as as to whether he’s the man who can lead them wherever.
So that they’re not going to win 100 video games. No less than not till Harper or Machado indicators right here. I’m ready for that. I’m additionally ready for Halley’s Comet.
However slightly than hold the cash in my pocket till Ben Franklin’s portrait disappears, I’m strolling to that on line casino betting window this weekend. Truly, I’ll be sprinting, as a result of I need to lay down my guess earlier than the percentages makers notice what number of wins Realmuto goes so as to add to the season whole.
Phillies at 84.5 wins? Guess the over. You’ll be able to thank me whenever you money that ticket someday round mid-September.